Musings on the general election

It is a folly common to perhaps all political commentators that they make predictions and then realise that those predictions might not come true.

Just over a year ago, I opined that UKIP would not win a single seat in the 2015 general election, and yet now I must face up to the possibility that I might be proven wrong. Fortunately I am not worried about it.  UKIP will not have my vote, but well done them if they can persuade other people to vote for them.

It is widely predicted now that the Scottish National Party will win almost all of the parliamentary seats in Scotland, and this is not surprising.  Forty-five percent of the vote in last year's referendum was for independence, and if the SNP obtains forty-five percent of the vote across Scotland in the general election, then it could possibly win every seat.

The United Kingdom is traditionally governed by the political party which enjoys more than half the seats in parliament, although this is not the same as having more than half the votes.  Therefore if the SNP win most of the seats in Scotland, then that would surely be a mandate for independence.

So confident am I that Scotland will be leaving the United Kingdom in due course that I recently changed my profile picture to one of the English flag.

It is also widely reported in the national press that many supporters of the SNP have been intimidating their political opponents and also employees of the BBC.

This the same BBC which for many years excluded the British National Party from Question Time, while at the same time not excluding parties which had less evidence of popular support.  This is the same BBC which sent a lying scumbag called Jason Gwynne to pretend to be a supporter of the British National Party so that they could make a documentary about how the BNP in those days was full of people who objected to child abuse. (Judging by its website, it still is.)

I do not know to what extent the Scottish National Party is responsible for the actions of some of its members, but it appears that it condones the direct action taken by those members who shout at senior figures in the Scottish Labour Party when they are trying to engage with members of the public.  Will the Labour Party reassure the public that not one of its members has ever shouted at people who campaign for other political parties?

It is also widely reported that SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon is seeking a coalition government in which her party will provide the Labour Party with a parliamentary majority.  While many commentators have argued that it would be unfair of the SNP to vote in parliament on issues which affect England but not Scotland, it has to be said that the entire history of British politics is largely a history of exploiting unfair advantages.

The simple solution is for the English MPs to demand a second referendum on Scottish independence at a very early date.  Would the SNP have a problem with that?

Related previous posts include:
Devolution: a very British disaster
Sensational news: people can be nasty